Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.245253 0.287590 0.337664 0.401982 0.483470 0.584751 0.722549
2025-01-26 0.184122 0.236279 0.306144 0.409611 0.564567 0.798205 1.199568
2025-02-02 0.151264 0.207097 0.289099 0.424893 0.658956 1.079905 1.996469
2025-02-09 0.129024 0.185441 0.274369 0.435472 0.748468 1.410164 3.245674
2025-02-16 0.113861 0.170270 0.264568 0.449191 0.849090 1.838691 5.413020
2025-02-23 0.101630 0.156950 0.254018 0.457051 0.941545 2.334367 9.014410
2025-03-02 0.091535 0.145197 0.243285 0.460564 1.026426 2.905548 15.203904
2025-03-09 0.082738 0.134176 0.231462 0.457797 1.094724 3.517396 25.725500
2025-03-16 0.074746 0.123386 0.217959 0.447085 1.135910 4.097188 42.711100
2025-03-23 0.070323 0.118598 0.215679 0.463045 1.272606 5.387254 101.871017
2025-03-30 0.064439 0.110198 0.204275 0.452200 1.312483 6.256326 205.884625
2025-04-06 0.060573 0.105284 0.199632 0.458502 1.423863 7.938701 689.845145
2025-04-13 0.056239 0.099023 0.191203 0.452562 1.487803 9.553123 3089.845828
2025-04-20 0.053395 0.095513 0.188620 0.463687 1.641456 12.842417 398271.628391
2025-04-27 0.051227 0.093160 0.188392 0.482414 1.855055 18.503899 NaN
2025-05-04 0.048948 0.090296 0.186441 0.495155 2.056039 26.335785 NaN
2025-05-11 0.047026 0.087992 0.185528 0.511491 2.304512 39.738652 NaN
2025-05-18 0.044977 0.085180 0.182856 0.520846 2.526621 59.015567 NaN
2025-05-25 0.042913 0.082123 0.179075 0.525027 2.724876 87.027188 NaN
2025-06-01 0.040769 0.078680 0.173769 0.521742 2.867356 123.375356 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038502 0.074754 0.166621 0.509025 2.919284 160.616605 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037420 0.073524 0.166901 0.527979 3.307649 329.515742 NaN
2025-06-22 0.035474 0.070063 0.160324 0.515096 3.359895 461.220609 NaN